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The hmetad package is designed to fit the meta-d’ model for confidence ratings (Maniscalco & Lau, 2012, 2014). The hmetad package uses a Bayesian modeling approach, building on and superseding previous development of the Hmeta-d toolbox (Fleming, 2017). A key advance is implementation as a custom family in the brms package, which itself provides a friendly interface to the probabilistic programming language Stan.

This provides major benefits:

Installation

hmetad is available via CRAN and can be installed using:

install.packages("hmetad")

Alternatively, you can install the development version of hmetad from GitHub with:

# install.packages("pak")
pak::pak("metacoglab/hmetad")

Quick setup

Let’s say you have some data from a binary decision task with ordinal confidence ratings:

#> # A tibble: 1,000 × 5
#>    trial stimulus response correct confidence
#>    <int>    <int>    <int>   <int>      <int>
#>  1     1        0        0       1          2
#>  2     2        1        1       1          4
#>  3     3        1        1       1          2
#>  4     4        0        0       1          4
#>  5     5        0        1       0          1
#>  6     6        1        1       1          2
#>  7     7        0        0       1          2
#>  8     8        1        0       0          1
#>  9     9        1        1       1          1
#> 10    10        0        1       0          3
#> # ℹ 990 more rows

You can fit an intercepts-only meta-d’ model using fit_metad:

library(hmetad)

m <- fit_metad(N ~ 1,
  data = d,
  prior = prior(normal(0, 1), class = Intercept) +
    set_prior(
      "normal(0, 1)",
      class = c(
        "dprime", "c",
        "metac2zero1diff", "metac2zero2diff", "metac2zero3diff",
        "metac2one1diff", "metac2one2diff", "metac2one3diff"
      )
    )
)
#>  Family: metad__4__normal__absolute__multinomial 
#>   Links: mu = log 
#> Formula: N ~ 1 
#>    Data: data.aggregated (Number of observations: 1) 
#>   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
#>          total post-warmup draws = 4000
#> 
#> Regression Coefficients:
#>           Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> Intercept    -0.04      0.14    -0.35     0.23 1.00     3115     3092
#> 
#> Further Distributional Parameters:
#>                 Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> dprime              1.05      0.08     0.90     1.22 1.00     4058     2832
#> c                  -0.04      0.04    -0.12     0.04 1.00     3950     3312
#> metac2zero1diff     0.47      0.03     0.41     0.54 1.00     5121     3320
#> metac2zero2diff     0.49      0.04     0.42     0.57 1.00     5262     2913
#> metac2zero3diff     0.56      0.05     0.47     0.66 1.00     5578     3139
#> metac2one1diff      0.50      0.04     0.44     0.57 1.00     4059     3253
#> metac2one2diff      0.52      0.04     0.45     0.60 1.00     5753     3401
#> metac2one3diff      0.46      0.04     0.37     0.55 1.00     5955     2555
#> 
#> Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
#> and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
#> scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Now let’s say you have a more complicated design, such as a within-participant manipulation:

#> # A tibble: 5,000 × 7
#> # Groups:   participant, condition [50]
#>    participant condition trial stimulus response correct confidence
#>          <int>     <int> <int>    <int>    <int>   <int>      <int>
#>  1           1         1     1        0        0       1          4
#>  2           1         1     2        1        1       1          4
#>  3           1         1     3        0        0       1          3
#>  4           1         1     4        0        1       0          3
#>  5           1         1     5        0        0       1          3
#>  6           1         1     6        0        0       1          4
#>  7           1         1     7        0        0       1          4
#>  8           1         1     8        0        0       1          1
#>  9           1         1     9        0        1       0          1
#> 10           1         1    10        1        0       0          3
#> # ℹ 4,990 more rows

To account for the repeated measures in this design, you can simply adjust the formula to include participant-level effects:

m <- fit_metad(
  bf(
    N ~ condition + (condition | participant),
    dprime + c +
      metac2zero1diff + metac2zero2diff + metac2zero3diff +
      metac2one1diff + metac2one2diff + metac2one3diff ~
      condition + (condition | participant)
  ),
  data = d, init = "0",
  prior = prior(normal(0, 1)) +
    set_prior("normal(0, 1)",
      dpar = c(
        "dprime", "c",
        "metac2zero1diff", "metac2zero2diff", "metac2zero3diff",
        "metac2one1diff", "metac2one2diff", "metac2one3diff"
      )
    )
)
#>  Family: metad__4__normal__absolute__multinomial 
#>   Links: mu = log; dprime = identity; c = identity; metac2zero1diff = log; metac2zero2diff = log; metac2zero3diff = log; metac2one1diff = log; metac2one2diff = log; metac2one3diff = log 
#> Formula: N ~ condition + (condition | participant) 
#>          dprime ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          c ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2zero1diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2zero2diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2zero3diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2one1diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2one2diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>          metac2one3diff ~ condition + (condition | participant)
#>    Data: data.aggregated (Number of observations: 50) 
#>   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
#>          total post-warmup draws = 4000
#> 
#> Multilevel Hyperparameters:
#> ~participant (Number of levels: 25) 
#>                                                          Estimate Est.Error
#> sd(Intercept)                                                0.49      0.52
#> sd(condition)                                                0.31      0.32
#> sd(dprime_Intercept)                                         1.22      0.22
#> sd(dprime_condition)                                         0.75      0.14
#> sd(c_Intercept)                                              1.16      0.17
#> sd(c_condition)                                              0.74      0.11
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_Intercept)                                0.11      0.10
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_condition)                                0.07      0.06
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_Intercept)                                0.11      0.11
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_condition)                                0.07      0.07
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_Intercept)                                0.10      0.09
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_condition)                                0.07      0.06
#> sd(metac2one1diff_Intercept)                                 0.10      0.10
#> sd(metac2one1diff_condition)                                 0.07      0.08
#> sd(metac2one2diff_Intercept)                                 0.14      0.11
#> sd(metac2one2diff_condition)                                 0.11      0.08
#> sd(metac2one3diff_Intercept)                                 0.13      0.12
#> sd(metac2one3diff_condition)                                 0.07      0.06
#> cor(Intercept,condition)                                    -0.43      0.57
#> cor(dprime_Intercept,dprime_condition)                      -0.94      0.03
#> cor(c_Intercept,c_condition)                                -0.94      0.03
#> cor(metac2zero1diff_Intercept,metac2zero1diff_condition)    -0.41      0.56
#> cor(metac2zero2diff_Intercept,metac2zero2diff_condition)    -0.34      0.56
#> cor(metac2zero3diff_Intercept,metac2zero3diff_condition)    -0.37      0.56
#> cor(metac2one1diff_Intercept,metac2one1diff_condition)      -0.42      0.54
#> cor(metac2one2diff_Intercept,metac2one2diff_condition)      -0.32      0.55
#> cor(metac2one3diff_Intercept,metac2one3diff_condition)      -0.21      0.67
#>                                                          l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
#> sd(Intercept)                                                0.02     2.02 1.18
#> sd(condition)                                                0.01     1.26 1.19
#> sd(dprime_Intercept)                                         0.89     1.74 1.02
#> sd(dprime_condition)                                         0.56     1.07 1.06
#> sd(c_Intercept)                                              0.88     1.52 1.04
#> sd(c_condition)                                              0.55     0.97 1.04
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_Intercept)                                0.00     0.35 1.05
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_condition)                                0.00     0.24 1.02
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_Intercept)                                0.00     0.42 1.10
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_condition)                                0.00     0.27 1.05
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_Intercept)                                0.01     0.35 1.02
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_condition)                                0.00     0.24 1.02
#> sd(metac2one1diff_Intercept)                                 0.00     0.41 1.01
#> sd(metac2one1diff_condition)                                 0.00     0.29 1.04
#> sd(metac2one2diff_Intercept)                                 0.01     0.41 1.07
#> sd(metac2one2diff_condition)                                 0.01     0.30 1.04
#> sd(metac2one3diff_Intercept)                                 0.00     0.45 1.02
#> sd(metac2one3diff_condition)                                 0.00     0.24 1.03
#> cor(Intercept,condition)                                    -1.00     0.88 1.17
#> cor(dprime_Intercept,dprime_condition)                      -0.98    -0.87 1.02
#> cor(c_Intercept,c_condition)                                -0.98    -0.88 1.11
#> cor(metac2zero1diff_Intercept,metac2zero1diff_condition)    -0.99     0.86 1.03
#> cor(metac2zero2diff_Intercept,metac2zero2diff_condition)    -0.99     0.88 1.03
#> cor(metac2zero3diff_Intercept,metac2zero3diff_condition)    -0.99     0.87 1.02
#> cor(metac2one1diff_Intercept,metac2one1diff_condition)      -0.99     0.85 1.03
#> cor(metac2one2diff_Intercept,metac2one2diff_condition)      -0.98     0.85 1.09
#> cor(metac2one3diff_Intercept,metac2one3diff_condition)      -0.99     0.95 1.13
#>                                                          Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> sd(Intercept)                                                  16       11
#> sd(condition)                                                  15       13
#> sd(dprime_Intercept)                                          401     1149
#> sd(dprime_condition)                                           56      591
#> sd(c_Intercept)                                               115      689
#> sd(c_condition)                                               146      575
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_Intercept)                                  56     1006
#> sd(metac2zero1diff_condition)                                 235      896
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_Intercept)                                  28      283
#> sd(metac2zero2diff_condition)                                 769     1288
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_Intercept)                                 510     1522
#> sd(metac2zero3diff_condition)                                 728     1099
#> sd(metac2one1diff_Intercept)                                  478     1206
#> sd(metac2one1diff_condition)                                  128      550
#> sd(metac2one2diff_Intercept)                                 1167     1470
#> sd(metac2one2diff_condition)                                  465      791
#> sd(metac2one3diff_Intercept)                                  535     1083
#> sd(metac2one3diff_condition)                                  599     1076
#> cor(Intercept,condition)                                       17       30
#> cor(dprime_Intercept,dprime_condition)                        395     1404
#> cor(c_Intercept,c_condition)                                   26       73
#> cor(metac2zero1diff_Intercept,metac2zero1diff_condition)      119     1441
#> cor(metac2zero2diff_Intercept,metac2zero2diff_condition)      143     1646
#> cor(metac2zero3diff_Intercept,metac2zero3diff_condition)      828     1474
#> cor(metac2one1diff_Intercept,metac2one1diff_condition)        657     1283
#> cor(metac2one2diff_Intercept,metac2one2diff_condition)        607     1508
#> cor(metac2one3diff_Intercept,metac2one3diff_condition)         22       77
#> 
#> Regression Coefficients:
#>                           Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
#> Intercept                     0.48      0.31    -0.14     1.02 1.14       19
#> dprime_Intercept              0.33      0.26    -0.19     0.86 1.06      398
#> c_Intercept                  -0.10      0.23    -0.56     0.35 1.03      230
#> metac2zero1diff_Intercept    -1.02      0.12    -1.27    -0.79 1.02      243
#> metac2zero2diff_Intercept    -1.04      0.14    -1.30    -0.77 1.02      219
#> metac2zero3diff_Intercept    -1.09      0.15    -1.38    -0.82 1.03      126
#> metac2one1diff_Intercept     -1.07      0.13    -1.33    -0.84 1.02      167
#> metac2one2diff_Intercept     -0.90      0.13    -1.16    -0.65 1.05     2504
#> metac2one3diff_Intercept     -0.95      0.14    -1.21    -0.68 1.01      343
#> condition                    -0.27      0.17    -0.60     0.03 1.11       24
#> dprime_condition              0.38      0.17     0.06     0.71 1.03      175
#> c_condition                   0.10      0.15    -0.19     0.41 1.04      194
#> metac2zero1diff_condition     0.06      0.08    -0.09     0.21 1.02      179
#> metac2zero2diff_condition     0.01      0.09    -0.17     0.17 1.04       82
#> metac2zero3diff_condition     0.01      0.09    -0.17     0.19 1.01      945
#> metac2one1diff_condition      0.01      0.08    -0.15     0.17 1.01      623
#> metac2one2diff_condition     -0.09      0.08    -0.26     0.07 1.05     2112
#> metac2one3diff_condition     -0.03      0.09    -0.20     0.14 1.04     1436
#>                           Tail_ESS
#> Intercept                       19
#> dprime_Intercept               734
#> c_Intercept                    601
#> metac2zero1diff_Intercept     1465
#> metac2zero2diff_Intercept     2002
#> metac2zero3diff_Intercept     2022
#> metac2one1diff_Intercept      1872
#> metac2one2diff_Intercept      2062
#> metac2one3diff_Intercept      2198
#> condition                       46
#> dprime_condition               682
#> c_condition                    604
#> metac2zero1diff_condition     1865
#> metac2zero2diff_condition     1828
#> metac2zero3diff_condition     1569
#> metac2one1diff_condition      1991
#> metac2one2diff_condition      2074
#> metac2one3diff_condition      1557
#> 
#> Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
#> and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
#> scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

References

Fleming, S. M. (2017). HMeta-d: Hierarchical bayesian estimation of metacognitive efficiency from confidence ratings. Neuroscience of Consciousness, 2017(1), nix007.
Maniscalco, B., & Lau, H. (2012). A signal detection theoretic approach for estimating metacognitive sensitivity from confidence ratings. Consciousness and Cognition, 21(1), 422–430.
Maniscalco, B., & Lau, H. (2014). Signal detection theory analysis of type 1 and type 2 data: Meta-d′, response-specific meta-d′, and the unequal variance SDT model. In The cognitive neuroscience of metacognition (pp. 25–66). Springer.